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Title: Realistic Acquisition Schedule Estimates: A Follow-On Inquiry
Authors: Raymond Franck
Gregory Hildebrandt
Charles Pickar
Bernard Udis
Keywords: Acquisition Schedule
Systems Dynamics
F 35 Program
Issue Date: 30-Mar-2017
Publisher: Acquisition Research Program
Citation: Published--Unlimited Distribution
Series/Report no.: Acquisition Management
Abstract: In a 2016 proceedings paper for this symposium (Franck, Hildebrandt, & Udis, 2016), we outlined and discussed a research agenda with an aim of more realistic acquisition program scheduling estimates, especially for the development (SSD) phase. This paper is intended to continue pursuit of that agenda, with the aim of demonstrating its feasibility and discussing methods of analysis. Accordingly, this paper is presented in four parts: the promise of Systems Dynamics as a schedule-estimating paradigm; a preliminary case study of cost-performance-schedule tradeoffs in the F-35 program; the development of measures of effectiveness for contemporary air-to-air combat; and finally an examination of data sources and empirical models for program and contract schedule uncertainty.
Description: Acquisition Management / Defense Acquisition Community Contributor
Appears in Collections:Annual Acquisition Research Symposium Proceedings & Presentations

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