Forecasting Critical Aircraft Launch & Recovery Equipment (ALRE) Components Demand

Abstract

Demand signals across the Navy's NIMITZ Class Carrier (CVN) Aircraft Launch & Recovery Equipment (ALRE) market-basket are highly erratic and do not fit neatly into the traditional demand-based sparing construct. This causes the Naval Supply Systems Command Weapons Systems Support (NAVSUP WSS) planning efforts to continually lag requirements, with material often arriving late-to-need. This project attempts to develop a comprehensive and more reliable ALRE material requirement forecast model based on identifying the correlation between ALRE component demand and a ship's operating phase status.