Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
https://dair.nps.edu/handle/123456789/4873
Title: | Guiding the Hands of Time: Toward Reliable Schedule Estimates |
Authors: | Charles Pickar, Raymond Franck |
Keywords: | Program Management Acquisition Schedules Data Science dynamic systems schedule estimating methods |
Issue Date: | 1-May-2023 |
Publisher: | Acquisition Research Program |
Citation: | APA |
Series/Report no.: | Acquisition Management;SYM-AM-23-106 |
Abstract: | This paper continues our research agenda concerning advancing the state of the art for estimating defense acquisition program schedules. Accurate schedule estimates provide valuable benchmarks for program managers and reliable dates for the availability of new systems for warfighters. However, most schedule estimates are not correct, with actual time to complete significantly greater initial estimates. This happens for several reasons. One of them is the inherent complexity of modern defense acquisition programs. Another is the generally unfavorable influence of factors outside the program (and program management control). While achieving improved estimates is worthwhile, we also conclude that accurate estimates are generally unobtainable. However, we remain convinced that improvements are possible, which benefit all concerned. |
Description: | Proceedings Paper |
URI: | https://dair.nps.edu/handle/123456789/4873 |
Appears in Collections: | Annual Acquisition Research Symposium Proceedings & Presentations |
Files in This Item:
File | Description | Size | Format | |
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SYM-AM-23-106.pdf | 739.51 kB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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